The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
MAY 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The May 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 633) increased 0.2% when compared with the April 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 12 consecutive months. When compared to May 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.0%.
When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, sports utility vehicles and other vehicles both increased 0.9%, while passenger vehicles decreased by 0.3%. Sports utility vehicles and other vehicles have been increasing for 11 months and 8 months respectively.
When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, all states and territories except South Australia and Tasmania showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. The Australian Capital Territory, Queensland and the Northern Territory had the largest increases with 0.7%, 0.4% and 0.4% respectively. South Australia decreased by 0.5% and Tasmania by 0.2%.
Seasonally adjusted
The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (85 410) decreased by 0.5% compared with April 2007. Sports utility vehicles decreased 3.4% and other vehicles 0.9%. Passenger vehicles increased by 0.6%.
When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, total sales decreased in all but two states or territories, with South Australia showing the largest decrease of 3.9%. Only Victoria and Queensland showed increases. Victoria by 1.4% and Queensland by 0.5%.
New motor vehicles sales May 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 25 820 | 21 535 | 19 410 | 4 979 | 9 932 | 1 535 | 819 | 1 380 | 85 410 |
Trend | 26 359 | 21 811 | 19 509 | 5 159 | 9 970 | 1 579 | 837 | 1 409 | 86 633 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | -3.9 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -3.0 | -1.8 | -0.5 |
Trend | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 7.5 | 6.8 | 9.1 | -6.3 | 7.0 | -5.0 | 10.2 | 19.7 | 6.6 |
Trend | 9.3 | 8.8 | 10.9 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -0.1 | 11.0 | 18.5 | 9.0 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
June 2007
July 2007
August 2007 | 20 July 2007
21 August 2007
21 September 2007 | |
September 2007 | 19 October 2007 | |
October 2007 | 21 November 2007 | |
November 2007 | 21 December 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles
(%) | Change
total
vehicles
(%) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 |
| March | 57 757 | 17 589 | 19 046 | 94 392 | 9.7 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 12.7 |
| April | 45 109 | 14 274 | 16 231 | 75 614 | -21.9 | -18.8 | -14.8 | -19.9 |
| May | 52 727 | 16 912 | 18 958 | 88 597 | 16.9 | 18.5 | 16.8 | 17.2 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | March | 48 320 | 13 898 | 16 414 | 78 632 | -2.4 | -0.9 | -0.7 | -1.8 |
| April | 49 675 | 13 819 | 16 210 | 79 704 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 1.4 |
| May | 49 646 | 13 992 | 16 447 | 80 085 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| June | 48 831 | 14 410 | 15 567 | 78 808 | -1.6 | 3.0 | -5.4 | -1.6 |
| July | 50 857 | 14 110 | 16 108 | 81 075 | 4.1 | -2.1 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| August | 50 297 | 13 160 | 15 973 | 79 430 | -1.1 | -6.7 | -0.8 | -2.0 |
| September | 50 940 | 14 535 | 15 965 | 81 440 | 1.3 | 10.4 | -0.1 | 2.5 |
| October | 50 403 | 15 047 | 16 348 | 81 798 | -1.1 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| November | 50 415 | 14 889 | 16 120 | 81 424 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| December | 51 576 | 14 833 | 15 661 | 82 070 | 2.3 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 0.8 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 212 | 15 321 | 16 987 | 86 520 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 8.5 | 5.4 |
| February | 53 607 | 15 450 | 17 278 | 86 335 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.2 |
| March | 53 875 | 15 608 | 17 551 | 87 034 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| April | 52 007 | 16 279 | 17 531 | 85 817 | -3.5 | 4.3 | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| May | 52 307 | 15 722 | 17 381 | 85 410 | 0.6 | -3.4 | -0.9 | -0.5 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | March | 49 324 | 14 096 | 16 447 | 79 867 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| April | 49 299 | 13 998 | 16 278 | 79 575 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| May | 49 439 | 13 917 | 16 116 | 79 472 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| June | 49 722 | 13 922 | 16 030 | 79 674 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0.3 |
| July | 49 988 | 14 010 | 15 985 | 79 983 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 |
| August | 50 218 | 14 147 | 15 960 | 80 325 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 0.4 |
| September | 50 457 | 14 337 | 15 963 | 80 757 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| October | 50 865 | 14 565 | 16 029 | 81 459 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| November | 51 478 | 14 822 | 16 187 | 82 487 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| December | 52 139 | 15 081 | 16 429 | 83 649 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 716 | 15 304 | 16 726 | 84 746 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| February | 53 084 | 15 485 | 17 035 | 85 604 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| March | 53 202 | 15 670 | 17 301 | 86 173 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| April | 53 150 | 15 835 | 17 508 | 86 493 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| May | 52 979 | 15 981 | 17 673 | 86 633 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 |
| March | 29 107 | 23 408 | 21 772 | 5 588 | 10 530 | 1 533 | 978 | 1 476 | 94 392 |
| April | 23 245 | 18 833 | 16 907 | 4 616 | 8 701 | 1 214 | 883 | 1 215 | 75 614 |
| May | 26 649 | 22 151 | 20 428 | 5 237 | 10 172 | 1 587 | 973 | 1 400 | 88 597 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | March | 24 312 | 19 744 | 17 400 | 4 843 | 8 780 | 1 582 | 773 | 1 198 | 78 632 |
| April | 24 166 | 20 614 | 17 344 | 5 287 | 8 846 | 1 509 | 744 | 1 194 | 79 704 |
| May | 24 022 | 20 155 | 17 796 | 5 316 | 9 284 | 1 616 | 743 | 1 153 | 80 085 |
| June | 24 075 | 19 413 | 17 515 | 5 026 | 9 084 | 1 702 | 758 | 1 235 | 78 808 |
| July | 24 209 | 20 486 | 18 352 | 5 107 | 9 492 | 1 518 | 740 | 1 171 | 81 075 |
| August | 23 980 | 20 336 | 17 220 | 4 946 | 9 534 | 1 417 | 800 | 1 197 | 79 430 |
| September | 24 745 | 20 783 | 17 536 | 5 037 | 9 652 | 1 677 | 765 | 1 245 | 81 440 |
| October | 25 149 | 20 490 | 17 888 | 4 910 | 9 648 | 1 671 | 835 | 1 207 | 81 798 |
| November | 24 808 | 19 948 | 18 445 | 4 953 | 9 598 | 1 634 | 767 | 1 271 | 81 424 |
| December | 25 040 | 20 371 | 18 570 | 4 840 | 9 791 | 1 405 | 802 | 1 251 | 82 070 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 663 | 21 736 | 19 034 | 5 409 | 9 943 | 1 562 | 839 | 1 334 | 86 520 |
| February | 25 910 | 22 157 | 19 090 | 5 206 | 10 034 | 1 714 | 829 | 1 395 | 86 335 |
| March | 26 686 | 21 922 | 19 569 | 5 247 | 9 792 | 1 602 | 829 | 1 387 | 87 034 |
| April | 26 297 | 21 230 | 19 311 | 5 182 | 9 991 | 1 557 | 844 | 1 405 | 85 817 |
| May | 25 820 | 21 535 | 19 410 | 4 979 | 9 932 | 1 535 | 819 | 1 380 | 85 410 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | March | 24 502 | 20 382 | 17 481 | 5 158 | 8 794 | 1 586 | 768 | 1 196 | 79 867 |
| April | 24 291 | 20 140 | 17 544 | 5 143 | 8 916 | 1 589 | 760 | 1 192 | 79 575 |
| May | 24 108 | 20 046 | 17 588 | 5 131 | 9 076 | 1 580 | 754 | 1 189 | 79 472 |
| June | 24 066 | 20 102 | 17 622 | 5 114 | 9 250 | 1 576 | 754 | 1 190 | 79 674 |
| July | 24 131 | 20 194 | 17 652 | 5 071 | 9 398 | 1 581 | 761 | 1 195 | 79 983 |
| August | 24 297 | 20 250 | 17 698 | 5 012 | 9 508 | 1 584 | 772 | 1 204 | 80 325 |
| September | 24 528 | 20 305 | 17 790 | 4 962 | 9 592 | 1 581 | 784 | 1 215 | 80 757 |
| October | 24 824 | 20 431 | 17 979 | 4 953 | 9 666 | 1 579 | 794 | 1 233 | 81 459 |
| November | 25 188 | 20 655 | 18 263 | 4 999 | 9 737 | 1 583 | 803 | 1 259 | 82 487 |
| December | 25 559 | 20 933 | 18 598 | 5 068 | 9 800 | 1 587 | 812 | 1 292 | 83 649 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 876 | 21 237 | 18 909 | 5 135 | 9 855 | 1 588 | 820 | 1 326 | 84 746 |
| February | 26 106 | 21 506 | 19 143 | 5 178 | 9 903 | 1 585 | 826 | 1 357 | 85 604 |
| March | 26 255 | 21 682 | 19 310 | 5 193 | 9 936 | 1 585 | 831 | 1 381 | 86 173 |
| April | 26 329 | 21 772 | 19 436 | 5 184 | 9 957 | 1 582 | 834 | 1 399 | 86 493 |
| May | 26 359 | 21 811 | 19 509 | 5 159 | 9 970 | 1 579 | 837 | 1 409 | 86 633 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |